What it does
- Live leaderboard ranks Polymarket wallets by skill-adjusted accuracy within each category.
- Conviction Alerts send email and Telegram notifications when a tracked forecaster makes a high-conviction move, typically within minutes of the move landing on-chain.
- Calibration Ledger shows how a forecaster's stated confidence matches observed frequencies, so someone who says 70% is right about 70% of the time.
- Watchlist lets you follow specific forecasters and build a personalized feed.
- Daily Digest is a summary email sent each day, even on quiet days.
- Free wallet checker runs on any Polymarket address, three checks a day.
Pricing
The public leaderboard, the receipts ledger and the wallet checker are free. A paid Pro tier gives full access, including calibration diagrams for the top of every board.
Good to know
- Web-based service with delivery by email and optional Telegram, which you can connect from your feed page.
- Scores and rankings are computed from publicly available on-chain Polymarket trading history.
- The site states it is not financial or investment advice and that past accuracy does not predict future outcomes.
Questions
- Is OVERROUND financial or investment advice?
- No. OVERROUND is an information and analytics subscription. It surfaces historical accuracy and notifies you when tracked wallets change position. It never tells you what to do, accepts stakes, or holds funds. Past accuracy does not predict future outcomes.
- Where does your data come from?
- From publicly available Polymarket activity. Scores and rankings are computed from on-chain trading history, and a wallet's current open positions are read from Polymarket's own public data API at page load.
- How quickly do alerts arrive?
- Typically within minutes. The reader sweeps the chain around the clock, and a detected move usually reaches you on Telegram and email inside ten minutes of landing on-chain.
In their words
Separate skill from luck in prediction markets.
Every number traces back to a resolved event you can independently check.